Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000016 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000034 0.000044
2024-12-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000057
2025-01-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000071
2025-01-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000085
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000101
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000035 0.000060 0.000121
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037 0.000067 0.000148
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000038 0.000073 0.000176
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000040 0.000080 0.000216
2025-02-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000042 0.000091 0.000275
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045 0.000102 0.000348
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000046 0.000111 0.000426
2025-03-16 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000047 0.000119 0.000522
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000023 0.000049 0.000132 0.000673
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000050 0.000146 0.000875
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000051 0.000154 0.001071
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000052 0.000165 0.001351
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000053 0.000179 0.001773
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000055 0.000201 0.002565
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000057 0.000217 0.003518
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000059 0.000243 0.005500
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000063 0.000282 0.010316